HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED
This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy, Inc. of Jacksonville, Florida from December 14 through December 18, 2018. A total of 625 registered Virginia voters were interviewed statewide by telephone.
Those interviewed were randomly selected from a phone-matched Virginia voter registration list that included both land-line and cell phone numbers. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter registration by county.
The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than ± 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the “true” figure would fall within that range if all voters were surveyed. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or age grouping
l
QUESTION: Recent changes in federal tax law will result in a two-year Virginia state revenue increase of $1.2 billion. Do you feel Virginia should: (ORDER ROTATED)
Use the additional money to expand funding for current state programs, or
Return the money to 2.8 million Virginia taxpayers by doubling the state’s standard deduction for individuals and couples.
| SPEND | RETURN | NOT SURE | |
| STATE | 28% | 59% | 13% |
| REGION | SPEND | RETURN | NOT SURE |
| Northern Virginia | 32% | 55% | 13% |
| Shenandoah/Piedmont | 31% | 56% | 13% |
| Richmond Metro | 36% | 53% | 11% |
| Hampton Roads | 23% | 62% | 15% |
| Lynchburg/Southside | 23% | 65% | 12% |
| Roanoke/Southwest | 23% | 64% | 13% |
| SEX | SPEND | RETURN | NOT SURE |
| Men | 23% | 68% | 9% |
| Women | 33% | 51% | 16% |
| AGE | SPEND | RETURN | NOT SURE |
| 18-34 | 36% | 50% | 14% |
| 35-49 | 22% | 67% | 11% |
| 50-64 | 27% | 58% | 15% |
| 65+ | 30% | 58% | 12% |
| RACE | SPEND | RETURN | NOT SURE |
| White | 24% | 61% | 15% |
| Black | 41% | 52% | 7% |
| PARTY ID | SPEND | RETURN | NOT SURE |
| Democrat | 34% | 59% | 7% |
| Republican | 17% | 68% | 15% |
| Independent | 34% | 48% | 18% |
2
| DEMOGRAPHICS | |
| PARTY REGISTRATION: | |
| Democrat | 255 (41%) |
| Republican | 190 (30%) |
| Independent or Other | 180 (29%) |
| AGE: | |
| 18-34 | 107 (17%) |
| 35-49 | 170 (27%) |
| 50-64 | 193 (31%) |
| 65+ | 149 (24%) |
| Refused | 6 (1%) |
| RACE/ETHNICITY: | |
| White/Caucasian | 425 (68%) |
| Black/African American | 130 (21%) |
| Hispanic | 32 (5%) |
| Other | 28 (4%) |
| Refused | 10 (2%) |
| SEX: | |
| Male | 299 (48%) |
| Female | 326 (52%) |
| REGION: | |
| Northern Virginia | 170 (27%) |
| Shenandoah/Piedmont | 95 (15%) |
| Richmond Metro | 90 (14%) |
| Hampton Roads | 125 (20%) |
| Lynchburg/Southside | 75 (12%) |
| Roanoke/Southwest | 70 (11%) |
| 3 | |
| Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy- | December 2018 Virginia Poll |
VIRGINIA POLL REGIONS
NORTHERN VIRGINIA: Arlington, Fairfax, Loudoun and Prince William counties and the independent cities of Alexandria, Fairfax, Falls Church, Manassas and Manassas Park.
SHENANDOAH/PIEDMONT: Stafford, Spotsylvania, King George, Caroline, Louisa, Fluvanna,
Albemarle, Nelson, Greene, Orange, Madison, Culpepper, Fauquier, Rappahannock, Clarke, Frederick, Warren, Shenandoah, Page, Rockingham, Augusta and Rockbridge counties and the independent cities of Charlottesville, Fredericksburg, Staunton, Harrisonburg, Winchester, Waynesboro, Staunton, Buena Vista and Lexington.
RICHMOND METRO: Chesterfield, Henrico, Hanover, Powhatan, Goochland, New Kent and Charles City counties and the independent cities of Richmond and Colonial Heights.
HAMPTON ROADS: Accomack, Northampton, Northumberland, Westmoreland, Lancaster, Middlesex, Mathews, Richmond, Essex, King & Queen, King William, Gloucester, James City and York counties and the independent cities of Williamsburg, Newport News, Hampton, Poquoson, Norfolk, Portsmouth, Virginia Beach, Chesapeake and Suffolk.
LYNCHBURG/SOUTHSIDE: Isle of Wight, Sussex, Surry, Southampton, Greensville, Dinwiddie, Prince George, Brunswick, Mecklenburg, Lunenburg, Nottoway, Amelia, Prince Edward, Cumberland, Buckingham, Appomattox, Amherst, Campbell, Charlotte, Halifax, Pittsylvania, Henry, Franklin and Bedford counties and the independent cities of Petersburg, Hopewell, Franklin, Emporia, Danville, Martinsville, Lynchburg and Bedford.
ROANOKE/SOUTHWEST: Highland, Bath, Alleghany, Botetourt, Roanoke, Craig, Montgomery, Floyd, Patrick, Giles, Pulaski, Carroll, Grayson, Wythe, Bland, Tazewell, Smyth, Washington, Buchanan, Dickenson, Russell, Wise, Scott and Lee counties and the independent cities of Roanoke, Salem, Radford, Covington, Galax, Norton and Bristol.
4
Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – December 2018 Virginia Poll